Oil Rally: WTI Pushes Toward New Highs as Asian Markets Hold Their Breath
Morning on the Commodity Markets: The Bulls Wake Up Before Everyone Else
Asian trading opened on Wednesday with an unexpected but entirely understandable surge. WTI ... crude oil futures for September delivery confidently crossed the $85-per-barrel mark, gaining almost a full percentage point. At the time the data was recorded, the price stood at $85.17—and this was only the beginning of a trading session that promised to be intense.
The highest level reached by a barrel was not included in the initial market report, but the fact that oil found support at $77.93 while resistance awaits at $85.74 says a great deal. A range of almost $8 is not merely volatility—it is the nervous twitch of a market trying to determine which way the geopolitical wind is blowing.
Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index edged slightly lower, slipping by a few hundredths of a percentage point to 100.97. This may seem insignificant, but for oil, which is priced in US dollars, even such a microscopic weakening of the American currency matters. It makes the commodity slightly more affordable for holders of other currencies, stimulating demand.
However, investors should not be misled by this modest correction in the dollar. The main story today is not about currency fluctuations, but about events in the Middle East and the mindset of traders who are frantically recalculating their risk exposure.
BZUSD ... , the global benchmark, is keeping pace with its American counterpart. September futures rose by 1.10% to $92.01 per barrel. The spread between the two benchmarks stands at $6.84, remaining within a relatively normal range. However, the fact that both grades are rising simultaneously indicates the global nature of the current rally.
This is not a local story about US oil inventories or wildfires in Canada. It is a story about global security, tankers passing...