Pound and Euro Regain Ground: The Dollar Takes a Breather, but It’s Too Early to Relax
After Friday’s frenzy, when the U.S. dollar surged on the back of strong U.S. employment data and technology stocks tumbled, dragging risk assets down with them, Tuesday brought something traders call consolidation. No sharp moves, no panic, no euphoria—just a cautious recovery after the storm.
Sterling gained 0.44% against the dollar, reaching 1.3401. The euro added 0.29%, climbing to 1.1572. Both currencies recovered part of the losses suffered on Friday when the dollar strengthened to two-month highs. Yet no one is celebrating. This is not a victory—it is merely a pause.
The U.S. Dollar Index, which rose above 100.2 on Friday, retreated to 99.9 on Tuesday. Just 0.3% lower, but symbolically below the psychologically important 100 level. That number encapsulates the uncertainty of the current market environment. The dollar remains strong, but its rally has stalled. The euro and pound are trying to catch their breath, but every step higher remains difficult.
What is behind this calm?
First, the absence of fresh catalysts. Both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have entered their pre-meeting blackout periods ahead of next week’s policy meetings. Policymakers are not giving speeches, granting interviews, or hinting at future actions. Markets are left alone with the data—and on Tuesday there was little data capable of changing the narrative.
Second, a partial rebound in technology stocks. South Korean chipmakers Samsung and SK Hynix, which plunged 8–10% on Monday, bounced back 5–11% on Tuesday. That helped calm investors’ nerves globally. Because the pound and euro are sensitive to global risk sentiment, the stabilization in equity markets gave them room to recover.
Third, surprisingly strong Chinese trade data. Exports rose 19.4% in May, while imports jumped 27.4%. This suggests the world’s second-largest economy may be showing signs of revival. For the...
