Forex market

Descending channel, the dominant structure since February peak

Gold peaked sharply near $5,500+ in early February 2026 and has been carving a clear descending channel (drawn in blue on the chart) ever since. Both the upper and lower channel lines are well-respected, price has tested both boundaries multiple times. The channel is sloping down from top-right to bottom-left, which tells you the sellers have been in control for 4+ months

Price is sandwiched, squeezed between channel support and SMA9

At $4,461, price is sitting right at the lower boundary of the descending channel a historically significant bounce zone. Both prior green arrows on the chart (February and March) marked rebounds from this exact region. The SMA9 ($4,485) is overhead acting as immediate dynamic resistance. Price needs to close above SMA9 on a daily basis to even hint at recovery. Until that happens, this is a range-bound squeeze with downside risk still alive.

Key Levels to watch

Channel top / BB upper - $4,751 Major resistance — unlikely near-term

SMA20 midline - $4,561 Bears defend this level

SMA9 dynamic resistance - $4,485 Immediate ceiling today

Current price - $4,461 At channel lower support

BB lower / channel floor - $4,371 Critical support — bounce or break

Breakdown target - $3,800 If $4,371 fails decisively

Hey Traders,

Today is packing some serious macroeconomic heat. If you're trading the Pound, the Dollar, or Gold, you need to have your alerts set and your risk management dialed in. Here is the no-nonsense breakdown of what to expect today and how to position yourself.

The Context: Governor Andrew Bailey has recently shifted to a surprisingly dovish stance. He explicitly noted that the Bank of England (BoE) might tolerate inflation staying above their 2% target temporarily to support the weak real economy, especially given the ongoing uncertainties and supply shocks from the conflict in the Middle East.

What to Watch: He is in the spotlight again today. If he doubles down on this dovish rhetoric and signals that the BoE is in "no rush" to tighten policy or hike rates despite sticky prices, expect the Pound to face selling pressure.

Key Pairs: Watch $GBPUSD and $EURGBP. If Bailey sounds cautious about UK growth and confirms that summer rate hikes are effectively off the table, $GBPUSD could aggressively test immediate support levels.

The Numbers: Dropping exactly at 10:00 AM ET / 14:00 GMT. The forecast is sitting around 6.82M to 6.87M openings, which is slightly below or roughly in line with March's print of 6.866M.

Why it Matters: The Federal Reserve is laser-focused on the labor market right now to determine its next monetary policy move. This report is our first major clue of the week, setting the stage before Friday’s massive Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release.

The Play:

Hot Print (>6.87M): A higher-than-expected number means the labor market is still too tight, reinforcing the "higher for longer" interest rate narrative. This is bullish for the USD.

Cold Print...

Hey, this is NorthRay.💪

Remember how I said I was going to open a trade on Apple?

Well… I tried. Honestly.

I spent the evening watching the AAPL chart, preparing, analyzing everything. But I decided to wait until morning so I’d be fresh.

I wake up at 8 AM Moscow time. Open the terminal. Click on Apple.

…Nothing.

The chart is frozen. The price isn’t moving. The Buy and Sell buttons are greyed out.

My first thought was: “That’s it. I got blocked. The broker is dead. The internet broke.”

And then it hit me.

The U.S. stock market was asleep.

At 8 AM Moscow time, it’s still the middle of the night on Wall Street. The exchange wouldn’t open for several more hours.

That’s how I learned markets operate on different schedules.🤐

I had to postpone Apple. But I couldn’t just sit there doing nothing.

So I checked which instruments were available at that moment. I saw SPX (the S&P 500 index — basically a basket of 500 major U.S. companies).

Unlike Apple, SPX is available for trading almost 24 hours a day with many brokers (through CFDs — contracts for difference). So I was able to open a trade in the morning.🤥

Instrument: SPX (S&P 500 Index)

Type: Sell

Volume: 0.10 lot

Stop-loss and take-profit: Set (of course)

Why Sell: The market looked overbought to me, and after yesterday’s rally I expected a pullback

The trade is still open. No result yet. We’ll see what happens.

I used to think trading was basically 24/7. Sit down whenever you want and trade.

Turns out… not exactly.🧐

The Forex market operates 24 hours a day,...